What skill allows an expert to quickly choose the best path when things are changing fast, then check if it's working and adjust if needed?

The skill that allows an expert to quickly choose the best path when things are changing fast, then check if it's working and adjust if needed, is Recognition-Primed Decision-Making (RPD). This skill is built upon extensive experience and involves a rapid, non-analytical process of pattern matching and mental simulation. When confronted with a fast-changing situation, an expert employing RPD does not consciously compare multiple options. Instead, they quickly recognize the situation as a specific type they have encountered many times before. This pattern recognition is an automatic cognitive process where current cues and information are matched against a vast library of past experiences and successful responses stored in the expert's memory. This immediate recognition allows them to bypass the time-consuming process of deliberate analysis or weighing pros and cons, enabling a swift initial decision. Once a plausible course of action is identified through this recognition, the expert then engages in mental simulation. This is an internal, rapid mental rehearsal where the expert mentally plays out the chosen action to anticipate its consequences and identify potential problems. If the mental simulation reveals that the initial path is unlikely to succeed or could lead to undesirable outcomes, the expert quickly adjusts the plan, modifies the action, or discards it and selects an alternative, which is then also mentally simulated. This iterative process of recognizing, acting, simulating, and adjusting happens almost instantaneously, allowing for continuous adaptation and effective responses in dynamic environments. The efficiency and accuracy of RPD are directly linked to the expert's highly developed mental models, which are sophisticated internal representations of how specific systems, situations, or environments function, enabling both precise pattern recognition and accurate mental simulation.