Discuss the concept of option expiration and its implications for option pricing, including the potential for time decay.
Option expiration refers to the date and time when an option contract ceases to exist. At expiration, the option holder has to decide whether to exercise their right to buy or sell the underlying asset, or let the option expire worthless. This concept has significant implications for option pricing, particularly the phenomenon known as time decay.
Time decay, also referred to as theta, is the rate at which an option's value declines as it approaches expiration. This happens because as time passes, the possibility of the underlying asset price moving significantly in the option holder's favor decreases. Options with shorter timeframes exhibit faster time decay compared to those with longer expiration dates.
Here's how time decay impacts option pricing:
Higher Time Decay for Out-of-the-Money Options: Options that are out-of-the-money, meaning the strike price is unfavorable for the option holder, experience faster time decay. As expiration nears, the probability of the underlying asset price moving into the money becomes increasingly slim, causing their value to decline rapidly.
Lower Time Decay for In-the-Money Options: Options that are in-the-money have a higher intrinsic value, which is the difference between the strike price and the current price of the underlying asset. This intrinsic value provides a buffer against time decay, making them less susceptible to rapid value erosion as expiration approaches.
Time Decay is Non-Linear: Time decay is not a linear function; it accelerates as expiration gets closer. This means the option's value drops more rapidly in the days leading up to expiration.
Consider these examples:
Call Option: Let's say you buy a call option with a strike price of $100 on a stock currently trading at $105. You have a month until expiration. If the stock price stays around $105, the option's value will decline due to time decay even though it is in-the-money. However, the decline will be slower compared to an out-of-the-money option.
Put Option: Imagine you buy a put option with a strike price of $100 on a stock currently trading at $95. You have a week until expiration. If the stock price remains around $95, the put option will lose value quickly due to time decay because it's out-of-the-money and the probability of the stock falling to the strike price before expiration is low.
In conclusion, option expiration and the accompanying time decay are crucial factors influencing option pricing. Understanding time decay's behavior is essential for option traders to manage their risk and make informed decisions about buying, selling, or holding options.